In my Panglossian way, I want to cheer an ideal result from
the Scottish referendum.
Having spent numerous nights awake worrying about this, I am
personally delighted by the result, not because of all the ephemeral fluff
about currencies, prices and economies, but because my own instinctive national
identity – ‘British’ – has not been voted out of existence.
But I am also glad that it was fairly close; and
particularly glad about the promises made about Scottish ‘home rule’ in the
campaign’s closing days, promises which must now be fulfilled, and which seem
to me to take account of the fact that this minority nation in the British
confederation has, for the present at least, a markedly distinct political
culture.
That will mean justice for Scotland, and will I think
reflect what John Smith used to call the settled will of the Scottish people.
It might be a pathway to full independence at the second
referendum which surely will come in due course: though my own private theory,
on which I will blog at a calmer moment, is that this is neither the
much-threatenened ‘neverenedum’ nor the much-claimed once-in-a-lifetime
opportunity, but rather a twice-in-a-lifetime
opportunity, which won’t recede unless and until it is voted down a second
time.
But I also think devo-max would mean justice for the English,
who will now be forced to recognise that the effortless imperialism of their /
our system, and its easygoing centralism and self-satisfaction, is
unsustainable. (A 65/35 vote, by contrast, would have entrenched it.) The
political upheaval which now beckons south of the Border is delicious to
contemplate,
English politics is not corrupt
in the classic sense: it is neither seriously venal nor actively murderous,
which by either global or British standards makes it unusual. I fear, given the
record of pre-Union Scotland and post-Union Ireland, that both of those
temptations might have awaited a newly independent Scottish nation.
But if England’s historic contribution to the Union has been
due process and the rule of law, Scotland’s contribution has been bloodyminded
awkwardness, libertarianism and a willingness to face down oppressive systems
no matter how historic their garb. Scotland is the country where tyrants are
deposed whatever their tame parliaments say (hello, Mary Stuart), assassinated
whatever oppressive splendour they have gathered (hello, James I and James III
of Scots), or despised regardless of the powers they have officially
accumulated (goodbye, Georges I-IV inclusive).
Each one needs the other. But in the present era, England
needs Scotland’s culture more than Scotland needs England’s. What makes Britain
worth persisting with is that mixture of order and rebellion: and we are, at
present, more likely to be too quiescent than too rebellious.
So here’s the September 19 deal. Scotland remains part of
the Union, for the present. But, sometime in the next decade, the UK as a whole
will almost certainly vote on whether to remain in the EU or not. English
voters (the Northern Irish and Welsh are almost spectators here) need to
realise that if they vote the UK out, Scotland will very quickly vote to remain
in Europe rather than in the UK.
Which is to say: if everything works out as I hope, the
September 18 vote could save Scotland, England and indeed Europe as a whole
from the petty-minded, sectional horrors that might otherwise confront them. If
you voted no, feel proud. If you voted yes, feel proud too: you have shown the
world that a country, Scotland, which values both absolute freedom and the rule
of law is not to be taken for granted.
And if, like me and millions of other Scottish Brits and
British Scots, you couldn’t vote this time, be patient. Your time will come.